There is a 70% chance of a quake at or above a 7.0 hitting Tokyo in the next 4 years.[link]
Kyoto News reported that 5 cites have been named as possible candidates to be Japan’s new capital if Tokyo is devastated by an earthquake. They are:
- Osaka-shi, Osaka, Japan[link]
- Nagoya-shi, Aichi, Japan[link]
- Sapporo-shi, Hokkaido, Japan[link]
- Sendai-shi, Miyagi, Japan[link]
- Fukuoka-shi, Fukuoka, Japan[link]
A final choice will be made in Spring 2013. I am in favor of Sapporo and that’s what I feel they will pick. It’s not only because my new home city of Otaru, Japan is next to Sapporo. so why else?
Osaka: Highest crime rate in Japan. Not a good place to make a new capital. That would be like the US making their capital Chicago, a city with massively high rates of violent crime. Higher than in the Middle East oddly. Not a real desirable capital.
Nagoya: Hurricanes. Japan gets bombarded yearly by hurricanes and all are between Okinawa and Tokyo prefecture. Whist Japan can handle hurricanes structurally, it would be best to avoid making their capital in that hurricane landfall hot spot. Not to mention the earthquakes. Nagoya may not be nearly as big of a time bomb as Tokyo, it is still a time bomb. Japan can’t afford to build a capital on another time bomb. Need I also add the tsunami threat it poses?
Sendai: Beyond stupid. I don’t even need to explain why. If experts can say Sendai is not a big risk and last years quake was just a weird event then I can say Sendai is a great choice. The weather is beautiful and so was the city.
Fukuoka: Too much rain. June and July seems to be non-stop rains for the area. PLUS it is close to North Korea and if NK decides to do a suicide launch and attack Fukuoka to send a message the loss of life would be higher and the target on its back would be brighter if we made it a capital.
Sapporo would be the best choice. It is not in a hurricane landfall hot spot, its not as much of an earthquake danger as the other cites, it hosted the 2 Olympics games(just like Tokyo- though both cites had their games canceled in 1940 due to WWII. None of the cities listed can say they hosted even ONE Olympic game let alone 2), it is a pretty lovely city and it’s pretty safe for a major city, It’s not really in a dangerous area in terms of conflict risk(compared to the others), etc..
I am interested in what everybody else thinks. What should be the capital(from the list) and why?